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Email Summary Post

Wednesday, July 15th, 2009 | Uncategorized with No Comments »

To save time on this post: I’m just going to paste my conversation from an email to a friend about market direction and trading.  But as of today, I went from being almost net way long on Monday to net way short as the end of today where I sold nearly everything except a few long positions plus some naked puts in YUM at 33.  I am looking into getting defensive in health care or utilities but perhaps after the market pulls back a little bit.  I don’t see much value in stocks right now or maybe I’m just not looking hard enough for some good positions but I stand with a pretty short book right now.
EMAILS:

On Wed, Jul 15, 2009 at 4:12 PM, MISTER BULL wrote:

All luck buddy.  But I have gotten really short after today so you might be able to get everything back so no worries but patience is kinda key in everything now.

Here’s a few things that I go by:

1. Always hedge – at least partially because hedging makes you think of the other scenario
2. Always buy or sell in lots because you can always average down or up on a trade – if it moves your way before you get your whole lot, it’s still profit.  Otherwise leg in.
3. Protect your profits.  I have a problem of letting my winners run still but I protect my profits first but if I had another source of income, I would probably let them run more but living on trading profits makes you a bit conservative.

But let’s hope of the reversion to the mean…I mean but my expectations are this: that for GOOG, BAC earnings that the market either doesn’t move or moves down.  Just profit taking especially on options Friday!!!

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On Wed, Jul 15, 2009 at 3:16 PM, XXXX > wrote:
Good call man.

Too bad I was short. Blew up in my face today.
Sighs.

On Thu, Jul 9, 2009 at 5:12 PM, MISTER BULL > wrote:
Hhahaaha….not eating is hard but trading is just challenging.

No worries man – emotional discipline is the biggest factor holding most traders back.  It’s tough to make a living when a 20% return a day is already awesome so don’t expect miracles because if you could make ridiculous returns per year, then you should just quit and start a hedge fund already.
The trend is still down but there could be a slight up move before then but I think you’ll get your opportunity to short above 89.10 but it might just be sometime next week.  I think the path of least resistance now is down mainly driven by low volumes and program trading.  If you watch the market, it’s closing downward into the close.  The sentiment is still negative but now the negative shocks may be starting to be priced in so it’s much more difficult to be short than long.  But as long as you hedge well, you should be ok.  But the few weeks, it’s been rough trading; pretty much sideways but all my traveling probably have something to do with it.
But I think it will hit about 830-850 but short term – for the next few days, I’m a little bit longer than short.
On Thu, Jul 9, 2009 at 2:31 PM, XXXX wrote:

Or at least trading.

I feel like I’m making all these really stupid mistakes, mostly with bad entries. Need to learn to be patient. Trying to short SPY above 89.10, but the market won’t give it to me.
So, what do you think? Next stop, 950 or 840? My vote is 840.

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Mister Bull

MisterBull is trading blog by trader who trades primarily by event driven macro-economic trading philosophies with adherence to basic technical principles. Traders are usually held for days to weeks. MisterBull is not offering advice or recommendations but merely for educational and entertainment purposes please contact your awesome blood sucking financial adviser about ideas.

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