This is the first of a weekly posting called Scenarios of the Week which is basically an outline of the possibly events that can dramatically alter the market.

Increased Fighting between Georgia and Russia:

• Rise in Oil prices because of dangers to oil routes
• Commodities rally and general markets fall
• Fall in airlines and transportations

Retails Sales are negative:

• Retailers may still rise because of lowered expectations
• Very little influence on market

China Inflation Date comes in low (expectations are for it to be high):

• Stocks rally due to expectations of continued global growth
• Chinese stocks rally

Dollar Falls in response to huge move:

• Commodities Rise
• Market and Financials Fall

Walmart Earnings on Thursday is Negative:

• Market Sell Off especially retailers

Disclosure: Short COF, GME, MAN, Long – CHK

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